Frankenstorm

Wow! Things have sure changed here at BoaterEd.

Folks like "In the Know" will find out that Karma is real.

He will find himself in a situation where it will not be hype. 30 minutes to high and dry?

Right
 
I believe there is a difference between hype and uncertainty. I'm sure there was some probability that it could have turned north and hit RI. Thus, what do you tell people. They got the main point of landfall right.
Sure News Media will hype it, but err on the side of caution.
 
When it comes to a storm like this, I like to know what the worst possible conditions could be, aka 'hype'. Some of the computer models had the storm go straight up to RI. Most models had it landing in the NJ area. I'm in south central PA and the center of the storm was predicted to come over us, which it did. There were lots of low lying areas that got flash floods; but that happens quite often and I suppose those people have developed a plan for when it happens. The Susquehanna River will not reach flood stage. For the vast majority of people in my area this was a windy rain storm but I sure there are people who lost property in conjunction with two deaths. From the looks of NY, the 'hype' was under rated. While we all want accurate weather predictions, getting it exactly right in every location is just not possible at this point in time.
 
Nowadays The probabilities of a storm turning unexpectedly are near zero... Personally i don't look much at the models because indontvhave the skills and knowledge to interpret them. I know some people who are driving themselves crazy looking at model graphics they dont understand

Over the past 20 years I don't recall a single hurricane landfalling 50 miles away from the predicted spot. Again, in this case the NHC had a jersey landfall forecasted since Thursday
 
Pascal, you yourself have called late season storms unpredictable. That alone justifies the media spreading the word to a large audience.

quote:
TS Sandy is expected to be one a weak hurricane and hit Cuba in a couple of days before continuing northward

I never trust these late season storms that form in the western Carib. They are often hard to predict although they rarely get too strong. It s a bit early but some long range forecast suggests 30 to 40kts in SoFL and possibly strong extra tropical storm from the mid Atlantic and New England over the week end.
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I just got a call from my marina tonight. My boat is a total loss.
It was on land the surge destroyed it and almost every boat at the marina.
There are no docks or services at the marina. Some boats are 3 to 4 blocks away from the marina.
I'll really miss her!
Bill
 
quote:
Originally posted by Billylll

I just got a call from my marina tonight. My boat is a total loss.
It was on land the surge destroyed it and almost every boat at the marina.
There are no docks or services at the marina. Some boats are 3 to 4 blocks away from the marina.
I'll really miss her!
Bill

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Damn Billy, just damn.
 
I was wondering how you were making out. I saw an ariel shot of Tuckerton and it seemed like everything east of Rt 9 was under water

Good luck to you
 
quote:
Originally posted by Billylll

I just got a call from my marina tonight. My boat is a total loss.
It was on land the surge destroyed it and almost every boat at the marina.
There are no docks or services at the marina. Some boats are 3 to 4 blocks away from the marina.
I'll really miss her!
Bill

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Wow Bill, I'm sorry to hear that. Absolutely sucks.

--Rick
 
Definately not good. I also feel for the marina manager he is a wreck 20 years at that location and he has never seen anything come even close to the tide height & surge.
Bill
 
quote:
Originally posted by Billylll

I just got a call from my marina tonight. My boat is a total loss.
It was on land the surge destroyed it and almost every boat at the marina.
There are no docks or services at the marina. Some boats are 3 to 4 blocks away from the marina.
I'll really miss her!
Bill

Click to expand...


Keep your head up Bill.
 
Really sorry to here that Bill. That is terrible news for you and your marina.
 
BillyIII I'm sorry to hear that, too. I know you had her up for sale, so I hope your insurance carrier treats you well. If anybody has documentation for upgrades, etc. it's you! Hopefully that will help...a bit.
 
A full insurance upgrade and inspection was done 2 years ago.
I have all the documents.
Bill
 
So sorry, Bill! What a horrible thing...for you, your dockmates, and marina management. Not the way you wanted to say goodbye to your boat. :(
 
Sandy may have only been a Catagory 1 hurricane, but it was big. We started to get rain 48 hours before the center passed over. Being so large/wide it pushed a lot of water. Sandy will not be forgotten for those who were in the path of the surge. I truely feel sorry for those who had loses. After looking at some of the photo's of different marina being destroyed, it will have an impact on boaters and boating in general.
 
Bill, as you know, so many folks have suffered this consequence. My heart goes out to everyone that has been affected like this. We came close to this in the Spring of 2005 on the Rondout creek.
Everyone likes to say insurance and cash will take care of it all. But the truth of it is, the memories that we built with these goofey boats are never going to fade, and it's very sad to see them end like this.
Oh well. Hopefully you and everyone else can move on. Maybe the deductibles and coverage allow everyone to recapture the sense of boating that we all enjoy again.
Cheers man. A toast to the old boat. Live on.
 
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