- Joined
- Mar 2, 2000
- RO Number
- 36
- Messages
- 6,627
Hey Jim K. It looks like yer in the bull's eye!
From the NOAA site for our zip code...
This NOAH forcaster has a sense of humor:
From the NOAA site for our zip code...
quote:
SNOW WILL BEGIN LATE TUESDAY EVENING...AND CONTINUE THROUGH
WEDNESDAY...ENDING WEDNESDAY EVENING. HOWEVER...SOME SNOW SHOWER
ACTIVITY WITH ADDITIONAL LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. MOST LOCATIONS WILL RECEIVE A FOOT OR MORE OF
SNOW BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WITH MANY AREAS LIKELY GETTING 18 TO
36 INCHES...ESPECIALLY FROM THE GREATER CAPITAL REGION NORTH AND
WEST. A BRIEF MIX WITH SLEET IS POSSIBLE IN PORTIONS OF THE
CATSKILLS...TO THE CAPITAL DISTRICT...NORTHERN BERKSHIRES AND
SOUTHERN VERMONT DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY...BUT WILL HAVE LITTLE
AFFECT ON THE SNOW AMOUNTS. AT THIS TIME...AREAS FROM THE NORTHERN
CATSKILLS THROUGH NORTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF THE CAPITAL
DISTRICT...TO THE GREEN MOUNTAINS AND POINTS NORTHWEST HAVE THE
BEST CHANCE AT SEEING ALL SNOW
This NOAH forcaster has a sense of humor:
quote:
.SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
WELL...IF THE REAL ATMOSPHERE ENDS UP RESEMBLING THE SIMULATED
ATMOSPHERE FROM THE FORECAST MODELS AND ENSEMBLE MEANS...THIS WILL
BE A STORM THAT WILL BE REMEMBERED ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. THE
TRACK OF THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN STREAM UPPER FEATURES AND
SURFACE FEATURES...ARE FORECASTED TO PHASE AND EVOLVE IN AN
ALMOST IDEAL FASHION FOR HISTORICAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS ACROSS THE
REGION. FORECAST MODELS AND REALITY ALMOST NEVER MATCH UP
PERFECTLY...BUT BETTER THAN AVERAGE CONFIDENCE WITH OVERALL
EXPECTED SCENARIO.
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...LIGHTNING DATA AND UPPER AIR
DATA...LOTS OF MOISTURE AND ABOVE AVERAGE BAROCLINICITY DUE TO
PROXIMITY TO ARCTIC AIRMASS. CURRENT CONVECTION AND DYNAMIC
TROPOPAUSE PARAMETERS SUGGEST UPPER RIDGING WILL BECOME MORE
ENHANCED WITH TIME...SUGGESTING TRACK OF UPPER/SURFACE FEATURES
MAY FAVOR MORE INLAND TRACK. THIS WOULD SUPPORT A PERIOD OF SLEET
FOR AREAS JUST SOUTHEAST OF THE CAPITAL DISTRICT INTO THE POU
AREA...NW CT...AND SOUTHERN BERKSHIRES. JUST A BRIEF MIXING OF
SLEET EVEN POSSIBLE IN PARTS OF CATSKILLS TO CAPITAL DISTRICT AND
SOUTHERN VT. STILL...ENOUGH SNOW WILL ADD UP IN ALL AREAS FOR
HEAVY SNOW AND WINTER STORM WARNINGS.
LOW-LEVEL AND UPPER-LEVEL WIND ANOMALIES STILL POINTING TO LONG
DURATION EXTREME PRECIPITATION EVENT WITH MANY AREAS RECEIVING .5
YARDS TO 1 YARD OF SNOW...OH...I MEAN 18 TO 36 INCHES OF
SNOW...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS IN HIGHER ELEVATIONS NORTH AND WEST
OF THE CAPITAL DISTRICT.